GDB Holdings Berhad - Acquisitions Lift Orderbook by 26.6%, but Dilution Is the Price
Fri, 09-Oct-2026 06:58 am
by Research Team • Apex Research

Counter

GDB (0198)

Target Price (RM)

0.60

Recommendation

Buy

  • GDB announced a five-pronged corporate exercise comprising (i) a private placement of up to 309.4m new shares (30% of the existing share base), (ii) the acquisition of 51% stakes in Bina Tegas and BT Borneo for RM81.6m, (iii) a 1-for-7 renounceable rights issue with free warrants, (iv) a diversification into property development and (v) an ESOS of up to 15%. Completion is targeted for 1Q2027. 

  • Valuation appears fair, with the 8.9x implied P/E below our 10.5x construction peer average and within the independent valuation range of RM76.0m–RM88.7m.

  • Strategically, the deal lifts GDB’s disclosed orderbook by 26.6% to c.RM1.26bn, backed by an orderbook target of RM400m by end-2028, with the vendors’ remaining 49% stakes pledged as security.

  • The trade-off is dilution. Even assuming the profit guarantee is met in full, we estimate the acquisitions and the minimum fundraising would dilute FY27F EPS by 4.8%-11.3% (up to 28.3% under the maximum scenario, before warrant exercise).

  • Maintain BUY with an unchanged TP of RM0.60, based on 9.5x P/E applied to FY27F EPS of 6.3 sen. The Proposals are not incorporated into our forecasts.

 

Proposed Acquisitions of Bina Tegas and BT Borneo. On 8 October 2026, GDB entered into share sale agreements to acquire 51% equity interests in Bina Tegas Sdn Bhd (Bina Tegas) and BT Borneo Engineering Sdn Bhd (BT Borneo) (collectively, the Target Companies) for a total purchase consideration of RM81.6m (Bina Tegas: RM66.5m; BT Borneo: RM15.1m). The consideration will be settled equally via RM40.8m in cash, funded by the Proposed Private Placement, and the issuance of 96.9m new GDB shares at RM0.421 per share, equivalent to the 5-day VWAMP up to 5 October 2026. Both Target Companies are building construction contractors serving residential, commercial and mixed-development projects in Malaysia, founded by Mr Leong Chee Kit in 2009 and 2013 respectively, with a combined orderbook of RM265.7m as at 30 June 2026. The Proposed Private Placement and the Proposed Acquisitions are inter-conditional, and the acquisitions will only complete if GDB raises at least RM40.8m from the placement. 

 

Profit Guarantee and Orderbook Target. The vendors have irrevocably guaranteed that the Target Companies’ aggregate cumulative PAT for the 30-month period from 1 July 2026 to 31 December 2028 will be no less than RM45.0m, assessed once on a combined basis at the end of the guaranteed period, alongside a remaining orderbook of at least RM400m as at 31 December 2028. As security, the vendors will deposit their remaining 49% stakes in the Target Companies with a stakeholder. Should either condition not be met, the pledged shares will be transferred to GDB at nil consideration, taking GDB’s ownership to 100%. Notably, the guarantee carries no cash compensation mechanism and no interim annual assessment.

 

Acquisition valuation appears reasonable. The RM81.6m consideration implies an equity value of RM160m for the Target Companies, equivalent to 8.9x P/E based on the annualised RM18m PAT implied by the RM45m cumulative profit guarantee. This is below our 10.5x construction peer average, representing a c.15% discount to peers. On this basis, the 51% stake would be worth RM96.4m at the peer-average multiple, versus the RM81.6m consideration. The consideration also falls within the independent valuation range of RM76.0m-RM88.7m. We therefore view the acquisition price as broadly fair, although earnings delivery remains the key risk given the Target Companies' weak historical profitability.

 

Can the Profit Guarantee Be Met? The guarantee of RM18.0m per annum is approximately 7.5x the Target Companies’ combined FYE Jun 2025 PAT and 7.2x their best year on record. Given historical PAT margins of between 1.4% and 3.0% over FYE Jun 2023-2025, achieving RM18.0m of annual PAT would require annual revenue of about RM600m at a 3% margin, or c.RM257m even at a 7% margin, against combined revenue of RM93.9m in FYE Jun 2025, RM72.2m in FPE Jun 2026 and an orderbook of RM265.7m. In other words, the guarantee requires both a step-change in revenue and a material margin improvement.

 

We take some comfort from the alignment created by the share pledge, but note that its value as downside protection is limited. The 49% residual stake had a book value of only c.RM10.7m as at 30 June 2026, and if the guarantee is missed, the stake transferred to GDB would be in businesses that have, by definition, underperformed. In that scenario, GDB would effectively have paid RM81.6m for 100% of businesses with c.RM21.9m of NA.

 

Funding: Private Placement and Rights Issue with Warrants. The Proposed Private Placement involves the issuance of up to 309.4m new shares (30% of the existing share base) to independent third-party investors. Under the Minimum Scenario, c.109.1m shares will be issued at an indicative RM0.374 (an 11.2% discount to the 5-day VWAMP of RM0.421) to raise RM40.8m, solely to fund the cash consideration; under the Maximum Scenario, gross proceeds rise to RM115.7m. Separately, the Proposed Rights Issue with Warrants entails up to 205.4m rights shares on a 1-for-7 basis, with one free warrant for every rights share subscribed, at an indicative issue and exercise price of RM0.33 (a 21.6% discount to the 5-day VWAMP).

 

The minimum subscription level of 91.0m rights shares (RM30.0m) is backed by an irrevocable undertaking from Acting Group Managing Director and major shareholder Mr Andy Lai Wee Young, whose direct stake would rise from 14.7% to 18.3% under the Minimum Scenario. Total gross proceeds amount to RM70.8m (Minimum Scenario) to RM183.5m (Maximum Scenario), with a further RM30.0m-RM67.8m from the full exercise of the warrants over their 5-year tenure. Notably, this follows the RM39.3m placement completed in October 2025, which has been fully utilised for working capital on the KL International Hospital, Logistic Hub Plot B and Metrohub 4 projects, making this GDB’s second equity call within 12 months.

 

Working Capital for Sarawak Infrastructure Jobs. The bulk of the remaining proceeds will be channelled towards working capital, mainly for three Sarawak infrastructure projects that are at an early stage of execution: a new single carriageway road in Kuching and Samarahan (RM67.0m, 2.2% complete), road development works in Simunjan (RM54.4m, 4.3% complete) and the New Song Water Treatment Plant in Kapit (RM115.5m, yet to commence). Together, these account for RM233.1m, or 23.3% of GDB’s orderbook of RM1.0bn. We see the raise as a pre-emptive move to fund the front-loaded working capital needs of infrastructure works, as GDB extends beyond its traditional Klang Valley high-rise building base.

 

Proposed Diversification and ESOS. The Proposed Rights Issue with Warrants is inter-conditional with the Proposed Diversification into property development, which will be undertaken via the newly incorporated GDB Development Sdn Bhd and led by Ir. Lim Sow Wu, formerly COO of Mah Sing Group and OSK Property Holdings. The Group has acquired a 6,961 sq m parcel in Kuching, Sarawak and identified a further 4,754 sq m for a planned mixed-use development (serviced apartments, SOHO and retail) with an estimated GDV of RM500m. Up to RM37.7m of rights proceeds is earmarked for the property business, but only under the Maximum Scenario; under the Minimum Scenario, no proceeds are allocated to property development, which would then need to be funded internally or via borrowings. Meanwhile, the Proposed ESOS of up to 15% of the issued share capital would give rise to non-cash MFRS 2 share-based payment charges upon granting, which are not in our forecasts.

 

Our View. We view the Proposals as strategically sensible but near-term dilutive, leaving our investment thesis broadly unchanged. On the positive side, the acquisitions lift GDB’s disclosed orderbook by 26.6% to RM1.26bn, bring in an established building contractor team, and come with a profit guarantee and orderbook target that align the vendors’ interests with GDB’s. The fundraising also strengthens the Group’s capacity to take on working-capital-intensive infrastructure jobs as it expands into East Malaysia.

 

However, we have three reservations. Firstly, the acquisition valuation is underpinned almost entirely by a profit guarantee that requires a roughly seven-fold step-up in earnings versus the Target Companies’ track record. Secondly, the acquisition implies 8.9x the annualised profit guarantee, versus 6.6x FY27F P/E for GDB at the RM0.421 consideration share price, indicating that the acquisition is EPS-dilutive even if the guarantee is fully met. Thirdly, this is the Group’s second equity raise within 12 months, and the placement, consideration shares, rights issue and warrants could together expand the share base by up to 79.2%, before any ESOS shares.

 

Pro Forma EPS Impact. For illustration, assuming the acquisitions are completed and the profit guarantee is met in full (51% attributable share of RM18.0m, or RM9.2m per annum), we estimate that GDB’s FY27F EPS would be diluted by 4.8% to 5.96 sen after the Minimum Placement and the issuance of the consideration shares, and by 11.3% to 5.55 sen after the minimum rights subscription. Under the Maximum Scenario, dilution widens to 28.3% before warrant exercise. Our estimates exclude returns on proceeds deployed into working capital and the property business, which should partly offset the dilution over time. For the acquisitions alone to be EPS-neutral after the Minimum Placement and the consideration shares, the Target Companies would need to generate annual PAT of c.RM25.3m, about 40% above the guaranteed run-rate.

 

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Impact. The cash consideration is fully funded by the placement, leaving the acquisitions cash-neutral at the Group level. Based on the disclosed pro forma effects (Minimum Scenario), NA attributable to owners would increase from RM265.3m (after adjusting for the RM7.2m first interim dividend) to RM372.0m after the rights issue, with NA per share edging up to RM0.28 from RM0.26. Pro forma gearing remains low at 0.01x, as the only borrowings consolidated are the Target Companies’ RM5.2m. We estimate the acquisitions would give rise to goodwill of approximately RM70.4m (before purchase price allocation), being the RM81.6m consideration less GDB’s 51% share of the Target Companies’ NA of c.RM10.6m. This represents c.19% of pro forma NA and would be exposed to impairment should the Target Companies fall short of the profit guarantee. On the cash flow statement, the RM40.8m cash consideration will be reflected as an investing outflow, offset by an equivalent financing inflow from the placement, while the net rights proceeds of RM25.0m (Minimum Scenario) will bolster liquidity for working capital.

 

Forecast. Unchanged. We maintain our FY26F/FY27F/FY28F core net profit forecasts of RM71.6m/RM64.5m/RM58.7m. We have not incorporated the Proposals into our forecasts or share base pending shareholders’ and regulatory approvals, as well as the final pricing and take-up of the placement and rights issue. We will revisit our forecasts, share base and TP upon completion, which is targeted for 1Q2027.

 

Maintain BUY with an unchanged TP of RM0.60. We maintain our BUY recommendation with an unchanged TP of RM0.60, based on 9.5x P/E applied to FY27F EPS of 6.3 sen, alongside a three-star ESG rating. At the current price, GDB trades at an undemanding 6.6x FY27F P/E. For reference, applying the same 9.5x P/E to our illustrative pro forma FY27F EPS of 5.5 sen (Minimum Scenario, post-rights, profit guarantee met) would yield a value of RM0.52, which still implies an upside of over 20% to the current share price, suggesting that the BUY call remains supported even under the Minimum Scenario. We continue to like GDB for (i) its sizeable tenderbook of c.RM9.6bn, (ii) its expansion into Sarawak infrastructure works, and (iii) its diversification into property development.

 

Risks. Rising material prices, failure to secure new contracts and risk of Liquidated Ascertained Damages (LAD).

 

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